India Monsoon Forecast 2025: In a surprising twist to India’s weather story, the southwest monsoon has arrived 8 days early in Kerala, setting the stage for a rain-rich season across the country. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the nation is likely to receive 106% of the Long Period Average (LPA) rainfall between June and September this year. This means more rains than usual, and for some regions, it could be both a blessing and a challenge.
Let’s break down what this forecast means, why it’s happening, and what new tech tools India is using to track the changing monsoon like never before.
What Is the Monsoon Forecast for 2025?
India’s official weather agency IMD has revised its earlier forecast of 105% rainfall to 106% of LPA for the upcoming monsoon season. For context, the LPA is 87 cm (or 870 mm) of rainfall, calculated based on average rainfall data from 1971 to 2020.
June Will Be Wetter Too
Not just the whole season — June itself is expected to see 108% rainfall, well above average. This is significant because June rainfall sets the tone for Kharif crop sowing and water reservoir levels across India.
“There is a strong likelihood of above-normal rainfall in central India including Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Maharashtra,” said Mrityunjay Mohapatra, Director General of IMD.
Why This Forecast Matters
With climate patterns growing unpredictable, early and accurate forecasts are more critical than ever. India Monsoon Forecast 2025 offers a rare silver lining with above-average rain, but also reminds us of the need for preparedness.
This year’s monsoon could boost agricultural output, recharge groundwater, and support rural incomes — if managed smartly. But it also challenges infrastructure and flood resilience systems, especially in urban zones.
